Price movements occurs like a waves. You can check it by looking its momentum. When momentum starts to slow you can know that trend reversal not far away. You can also double check it with markets current situation. There is a greed or fear? You can't just make the same think with crowd. You are making trade. If you want to sell something to them you should buy it when noone wants to buy. Is bitcoin gonna break its market structure and drop like there is no tomorrow? I don't think so. Nothing has changed you are just thinking like that because of price.
Purple lines shows divergences and yellow areas and keltner channels show oversold and overbougth situations. I think there is a clear pattern that bitcoin repeats. White horizontal lines support area.