This plot is centered around this Blue Fibonacci extension set notice the prefect recognition of each .236 and .618 ratios.
Based on the above fib, and the Elliott Wave count that it indicates, another leg down seems highly probable. This is for short term analysis. Longer term I think we have another big leg down when a wave 5 of higher order completes. See the links below for progress on this crash watch and my measurements.
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Background: This is a continuation of my calculations to find the 'bottom' and consider whether it will go any lower or not.
First I saw 3618 on CoinBase as important which had been on my charts for over 6 months:
Getting closer, I started to see a bigger picture coming together:
As it bounced, I had hoped for a 4500-4700 peak:
But then 4425 came into focus as the big hurdle:
After it had topped at 4025, a rising wedge combined with EW waves pointed to a serious pullback:
So here we are now, to see if there will be a bounce before a lower low is printed: