__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
__________________________________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategic Summary
__________________________________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________________________________
Multi-Timeframe Analysis
__________________________________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________________________________
Macro, News & On-Chain Analysis
__________________________________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________________________________
Conclusion
__________________________________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
__________________________________________________________________________________
- Momentum: Clear bullish bias across all timeframes (MTFTI Up everywhere except 5min). Weak selling pressure, no distribution or capitulation signals.
- Support/Resistance: Key resistances: 110647–109554 (HTF). Major supports: 102756 (D Pivot Low), 98330 (720 Pivot Low). Multiple buy zones on retracement.
- Volume: Recent volumes below "extreme" threshold, no euphoria/capitulation detected.
- Multi-TF Behavior: Global bullish alignment, volatility present intraday, but no confirmed reversal risk. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator shows no major anomaly.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategic Summary
__________________________________________________________________________________
- Strategic Bias: Structurally bullish market. Prioritize tactical buys on pullback, active risk management.
- Opportunities: Reinforce long positions on $106k/$103k/$100k retrace. Partial targets below 110–111k.
- Risk Zones: Rejection under 106500–107000 with extreme volume spike = short-term top signal. Invalidation if H1 < 106k or H4 < 102.7k.
- Macro Catalysts: US calendar (GDP, durable goods, jobless claims), geopolitics (Russia/Ukraine). No systemic alert, but caution required.
- Action Plan: Filter entries on technical supports, exit on extreme sell volume or macro shock.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Multi-Timeframe Analysis
__________________________________________________________________________________
- 1D: Compression below historical resistances (109–111k), solid momentum, potential buy zone 102750–98330.
- 12H: Multiple resistances, uptrend, support confluence 102756–106530 pivot key.
- 6H: Price under resistance cluster (106530), possible profit-taking on rejection, strong support 102756.
- 4H: High-range structure, reinforced supports, next breakout could trigger acceleration with volume.
- 2H: Pivot zone 106500–107200, caution below close, buy zone on correction.
- 1H: Support stacking structure, no clear breakdown, critical node, aggressive buy 106100–105800.
- 30min: Compression at range high, caution on buying resistance, key spots 106000/104500.
- 15min: Possible buyer exhaustion under 108k, tactical buy on support 106000–106500 if confirmed.
- Summary: Strong bullish alignment, same key supports, no panic. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator neutral, controlled market, possible whipsaw on short-term TFs but no major reversal sign.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Macro, News & On-Chain Analysis
__________________________________________________________________________________
- Macro: Fed and traditional markets calm, no monetary alert. Israel/Iran ceasefire, increased volatility in Europe (Russia/Ukraine). Moderate risk-on sentiment.
- Calendar: June 26: US durable goods/GDP/jobless claims (potential volatility).
- On-chain: BTC range $100–110k, fundamental support $93–100k, no panic/capitulation. Low spot volumes, bullish digestion phase.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Conclusion
__________________________________________________________________________________
- Dominant bias: Up/moderately bullish in short term, focus on retracement buying.
- Risk management: Stop H4 < $102.7k, H1 < $106k, scalping: break of 106k with extreme volumes.
- Action zones: Reinforce on $106k/$103k/$100k retrace, partial TP below 110–111k, extension if confirmed breakout.
- Monitor: Volume, support reactions, macro catalysts.
Summary:
Technical and on-chain context remains bullish; best approach is tactical buying on pullback with dynamic stops. Stay agile in case of extreme selling volume or macro shocks. Act on signals, protect capital.
__________________________________________________________________________________
免責聲明
這些資訊和出版物並不意味著也不構成TradingView提供或認可的金融、投資、交易或其他類型的意見或建議。請在使用條款閱讀更多資訊。
免責聲明
這些資訊和出版物並不意味著也不構成TradingView提供或認可的金融、投資、交易或其他類型的意見或建議。請在使用條款閱讀更多資訊。