The main idea I had for this was after looking at the peak in 2013. I had drawn the blue line prior to ever going forward to today and they clipped some meaningful places spot on so I was using that as a possible weigh in further.
If it does follow down to 5700 and does bounce I would expect a double top and a sharp downtrend to enter a longer consolidation period, how far that dip would go depends on a few factors that I'll wait on as they develop.