BTC/USD Daily Chart Observations 10/15/23

2023年10月16日

MA200 Resistance Challenge and Decline: Starting from the 9th of October, the price of Bitcoin began to decline after encountering resistance at the MA200. This marked a significant challenge as Bitcoin struggled to break and close above the MA200 during the period from October 1st through October 9th.

Hopeful Spring: Despite the MA200 resistance, there's a glimmer of hope in the recent price action. On September 11th, we experienced a significant drop, briefly falling below $25,000. However, in a notable spring-like move, the price swiftly rebounded back above the $25,000 level. This marked a critical low and a strong spring, an essential concept in technical analysis.

Higher Highs and Lows: Bitcoin then embarked on an upward trajectory, making a higher high above the MA200. The price pulled back but established another higher low at $26,500, showcasing its upward momentum.

Two Possible Scenarios: The current situation presents two distinct scenarios:

Bullish Scenario: The price respects this higher low and manages to break above the MA200 and the $28,000 resistance, forming a higher high. This would be a bullish sign.
Bearish Scenario: However, there's also a bearish possibility. The price structure resembles a potential head and shoulders pattern. An MA200 rejection or a drop below the previous shoulder's level at $27,500 could trigger a decline, testing support at either $26,000 or even $25,000.