After a bit of studying the price action, I found that during down trending price action, if one of the red candles deviates from our by around $1000, it is almost always likely to jump back to the .
I indicate this with the yellow arrows. I found this method to have even more validity if the red candle does not start off by touching the .
I've found that using smaller time frames for deciding where to jump in is helpful.
How do you know if Bitcoin is in an up or down swing? See my previous idea: