BTC - Will the Bearish Channel continue?

3 天前

Market Context
After a strong impulsive rally earlier in the year, BTC has been trading within a descending channel on the daily timeframe. This corrective structure suggests a period of consolidation and redistribution, as price oscillates between the channel's boundaries. The repeated rejection from the upper trendline and the inability to break through key highs reinforce the bearish bias in this structure.

Buy Side Liquidity Sweep Potential
Price is currently positioned just beneath a relatively clean swing high, sitting above the mid-range of the channel. This high represents a clear area of Buy Side Liquidity—stop losses from short positions and pending breakout orders from longs are likely clustered there. An engineered sweep of this high would serve as a strategic move for larger participants to collect liquidity before driving price lower.

Fair Value Gap as a Pivot Point
Beneath current price lies a Fair Value Gap—a visible inefficiency formed during a fast upward move earlier in the structure. This Gap remains unfilled and offers a compelling target for price once the Buy Side Liquidity Sweep occurs. It represents a logical zone for price to rebalance before deciding on continuation or reversal. Should price break below the Gap cleanly, it would confirm the bearish intent and potentially accelerate toward the lower bounds of the channel.

Channel Continuation Structure
The overall geometry of the channel remains intact, and the price respecting both upper and lower boundaries strengthens the likelihood of a continuation toward the downside. If the Buy Side Liquidity Sweep and subsequent rejection occur, the market could be poised for another leg lower—possibly seeking the next structural support closer to 90,000 or even toward the lower extremities of the channel around 80,000–82,000.

Final Thoughts
This chart reflects classic price delivery behavior: corrective structure, engineered liquidity sweeps, and the magnetic pull of inefficiencies like Fair Value Gaps. Whether you’re actively trading or simply observing, this is a clean, educational setup to learn from.

If this breakdown helped you see the market a bit clearer, I’d really appreciate a like. And feel free to share your thoughts or counterviews in the comments—your insights make the analysis even more valuable.

3 天前

註釋

Let me know what you think will happen in the comments!

3 天前

註釋

Seems like this random pump can also lead to a breakout...

前天

註釋

Seems like the pump took the BSl and is breaking out.

前天

交易進行

Seems like BTC broke out of the channel.

昨天

取消訂單

BTC broke out before it reached the FVG I had in mind. Let's look for another setup today!