[BTCUSDT] | Short Setup From the High | Liquidity Engineer Trap

3月25日

🚨 [BTCUSDT] | Short Setup From the High | Liquidity Engineer Trap in Motion

Posted by: Karma_T | March 25, 2025
Framework: KarmaTrades Methodology (Trap Patterns • EMA Reactions • Session Flows)

🧠 Setup Context

Over the weekend, I stacked into a short position on BTC as the price pushed up into a high-confluence zone. The move lacked real momentum, topped out right under the High of the Week (HOW), and was rejected at the 4H 200 EMA—all signs pointing toward a manufactured pump.

The move looked engineered — something I refer to as a Liquidity Engineer trap. Highs bait the breakout traders, low volume confirms the lack of intent, and now we’re hovering at the edge, waiting to see if it rolls over.

📍 Why I Took the Short
• HOW + RL3 (Rise Level 3) on the 15m TF — prime reversal territory
• Rejection at the 4H 200 EMA, which often acts as the ceiling when the move is cooked
• Volume didn’t confirm continuation — just enough juice to run stops and lure breakout entries
• Aligned with False Move Week Beginning (FMWB)

🎯 My Targets

I'm just letting price do its thing here. Target zones mapped out based on structural liquidity:
• TP1: 85.5K – Minor S/R flip + breakout base
• TP2: 82.6K – Clean liquidity shelf & prior consolidation
• TP3: 81.1K – Monthly level & previous trap zone

I'll step back and reassess if the structure shifts — especially a clean reclaim and retest above HOW and the 1H 800 EMA. Until then, this still looks like a fade-the-pump setup.

—

#BTCUSDT #ShortSetup #KarmaTrades #LiquidityEngineer #TrapSetup

3月25日

交易進行

🧭 Stop adjusted upward to 90,000
The push into the 86K–88K zone showed signs of a final liquidity grab. The stop has been moved to 90K to allow for trap completion before full breakdown.

🎯 Updated Targeting a Full 3:1 R:R
• Entry: 86,000
• Stop: 90,000 (4K risk)
• 3:1 Target: 74,000
• TP1 and TP2 remain unchanged
• TP3 now pushed deeper to align with macro liquidity shelf + structural retest zone

🧯 Invalidation Criteria
• Daily close above 90K
• OR a clean reclaim + retest of HOW and 1H 800 EMA

If either triggers, the short is off the table. Otherwise, the structure remains aligned for continuation into deeper liquidity.

📉 Expectation: price fades through mid-range, sweeps sub-75K, then forms a reclaim base near 73K–72.5K.

Let the engineered trap play out. When the volume lies, structure tells the truth.

—