Bitcoin Offensive plan for S/R, risk-on scenario confirmed

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Technical Overview – Summary Points
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• Momentum: Strong across all timeframes, driven by the Risk On / Risk Off Indicator (“Strong Buy” bias from 1D to 1H).
  
• Key Supports: 98–100k remains the crucial zone to defend. Interim supports at 103.6k and 106k.
  
• Major Resistances: 107–110k critical cluster, intermediate resistance at 108.2k.
  
• Volume: Normal to moderately increasing volumes on all timeframes, short-term spike at 15min (caution warranted).
  
• Multi-TF behavior: No signs of euphoria or capitulation except for 15min (behavioral overheating & high volume detected).
  

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Strategic Summary
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• Structural bias: Strong bullish, confirmed by technical and sector data.
  
• Opportunities: Pullback entries at 107–107.5k, trend-following plans on validated breakouts >108.2k/109.9k.
  
• Risk zone: Major break under 106k then 103.6k = invalidation, watch for seller excess (ISPD)/extreme volume on 15min.
  
• Macro catalyst: No major event expected; wait & see climate, caution around Middle East geopolitical headlines.
  
• Action plan: Buy support, monitor breakout/volume, stop-loss below 106k then 99k.
  

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Multi-Timeframe Analysis
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1. 1D – 12H – 6H: Durable bullish structure, price capped below 107–110k, momentum confirmed by Risk On / Risk Off Indicator (“Strong Buy”), no volume climax, healthy volume. 98–100k supports remain crucial.
   
2. 4H – 2H – 1H – 30min: Aligned uptrend, no sell signals. Pullbacks absorbed at 103.6–107.5k pivots. 108.2k–109.9k breakout is pivotal, volumes healthy outside 15min.
   
3. 15min: Emerging behavioral excess (ISPD = Sell), very high volume → risk of short-term overheat, avoid chasing without validation.
   
4. Summary: Bullish multi-timeframe confluence, but caution on ultra-short-term excess and geopolitical news flow.
   

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Synthesis & Strategic Plan
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• Directional bias: Structurally bullish on all higher TFs, supported by Risk On / Risk Off Indicator, MTFTI, no major alert signals.
  
• Action scenarios:
  Buy pullback at 107–107.5k, SL below 106k (Swings) or below 107k (Scalps).
  Confirmed breakout (vol./no behavioral excess) above 108.2–109.9k, targets >110k.
  
• Risk/invalidation: Any break under 106k then 103.6k then 99k = bullish bias neutralized.
  
• Risk management: Take partial profits on 109–110k extensions; avoid persistence if ISPD turns red & volumes spike on lower TFs.
  
• Fundamental & on-chain factors: No macro catalyst, healthy consolidation, $99k–$100k on-chain supports decisive, breakout requires new inflows.
  

Decision summary:
Bias = Bullish, buy supports and validate breakouts with volume, watch for 15min excess and Middle East headlines. Strict SL below 106k/103.6k, risk-off below 99k. Partial profit taking on 109–110k extension. No immediate macro catalyst.