BTC vs DXY – Macro Setup at a Crossroads

Looking at BTC and DXY on the weekly, we’ve seen 3 key periods so far. In the first two, the pattern was clear: BTC went up, DXY went down.

Now we’re in the third period: what’s next?
👉 Has the move already played out?
👉 Is it happening now?
👉 Has DXY bottomed and BTC topped, or will DXY go lower while BTC climbs?

Macro conditions may help guide us.

BTC looks strong — supported by ETF inflows, on-chain strength, and institutional demand.
DXY looks weak — with softer economic data and rising expectations for rate cuts.

In my view, tariffs are likely to weigh heavier on DXY than BTC, favoring more upside for BTC.
The recent Big Beautiful Bill could also add fuel to BTC while adding pressure on DXY.

Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.