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Bitcoin vs USDT. Update 03 March

BINANCE:BTCUSDT   Bitcoin / TetherUS
As long as bitcoin does not manage to consolidate above $ 52,500, the risk of being in the range of 45,000 and 50,000 still remains. To have a bullish signal again in the 4-hour period, bitcoin must perform laterally above 51,600 to 52,500

Probability 1. Consolidation between $ 45k to $ 51.6k.
Probability 2. Achieve consolidation between $ 54k - $ 58.5k and then quickly go up to $ 65k - $ 75k
Probability 3. Breaking the support from $ 43k to $ 43.5k and then lower to $ 36k

What option do you see most likely in the short term?.
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