The expected fall has begun. What's next?

2023年7月25日

As I wrote earlier, $31,800 is a sufficient value for a BTC peak.

At the moment, the peak of the trend, which lasted more than 7 months, has been set. I am waiting for a correction to this whole trend, no less than 3-4 months.

The scenario that I assume is in front of you. All other studies are in a different analysis, the arguments for and against. You can read everything carefully.

I do not exclude that BTC goes higher, but for this we must not fall, but for a long time to decline to the values of $ 28,000, if BTC holds this value and does not fall below until the end of next month, then the scenario is canceled, only in this case.

2023年7月25日

註釋

WEEKLY BTC MACD:



WEEKLY BTC RSI:



TOTAL MARKET CAP:



BITCOIN PURE CAP:



STABLECOINS PURE CAP:

2023年7月25日

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LOCAL/GLOBAL BTC:

2023年7月30日

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2023年8月2日

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2023年8月3日

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I recognize the possibility of another impulse growth. Simply because the price has been in the same range for a long time and people do not have a FOMO. However, I have been in a big short position for a long time and my stop is around 36,000. A lot of factors speak about the implementation of my analysis. I don't see any arguments for growth right now, there simply aren't any, except for comments from strange people, which usually means the end of growth.

1 - main scenario
2 - second scenario

2023年8月7日

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2023年8月8日

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2023年8月16日

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We have been testing the trend line for a long time, there are fewer chances to bounce back and go long (black vector). Everything is going according to plan, no changes.

2023年8月17日

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