BITCOIN MAY DROP TO 74K - BEARISH STRUCTURE INTACT
Symbol - BTCUSD
CMP - 84600
BTCUSD is undergoing a shift in market structure, transitioning into a bearish phase following the breakdown at 90K. A deeper correction is currently developing, which, in my view, represents a logical and technically sound progression for a healthy market. It is concerning when the market only experiences upward movement driven solely by buying pressure, such as in the case of large-scale injections of funds into high-yield investment programs (HYIPs).
A correction in Bitcoin’s price or even a trend reversal could inject vitality back into the market. From a fundamental perspective, traders have not seen the expected active support for cryptocurrencies from the US, which was previously suggested during Trump's election campaign. Additionally, issues such as crypto exchange hacks, fraudulent coins, and Bitcoin's dominance are exerting negative pressure on altcoins.
Bitcoin’s current downturn, with the possibility of a further drop to the 75K-73K range, could present an opportunity for fundamentally strong altcoins, assuming the declining Bitcoin dominance index also continues to trend downward. The simultaneous reallocation of funds from Bitcoin to altcoins, along with a rebound in Bitcoin from a strong support level, could rejuvenate the prospects for an altcoin season.
Resistance levels: 88150, 90700
Support levels: 75000, 73570, 66830
A modest retracement towards the 88100 to 90700 range is possible before the price begins its descent. While Bitcoin may attempt a deeper pullback, the current market imbalance, coupled with the absence of a clear driving force or supportive factors, suggests that the price may continue to fall in the medium term, potentially reaching the liquidity zone between 75K and 73K
CMP - 84600
BTCUSD is undergoing a shift in market structure, transitioning into a bearish phase following the breakdown at 90K. A deeper correction is currently developing, which, in my view, represents a logical and technically sound progression for a healthy market. It is concerning when the market only experiences upward movement driven solely by buying pressure, such as in the case of large-scale injections of funds into high-yield investment programs (HYIPs).
A correction in Bitcoin’s price or even a trend reversal could inject vitality back into the market. From a fundamental perspective, traders have not seen the expected active support for cryptocurrencies from the US, which was previously suggested during Trump's election campaign. Additionally, issues such as crypto exchange hacks, fraudulent coins, and Bitcoin's dominance are exerting negative pressure on altcoins.
Bitcoin’s current downturn, with the possibility of a further drop to the 75K-73K range, could present an opportunity for fundamentally strong altcoins, assuming the declining Bitcoin dominance index also continues to trend downward. The simultaneous reallocation of funds from Bitcoin to altcoins, along with a rebound in Bitcoin from a strong support level, could rejuvenate the prospects for an altcoin season.
Resistance levels: 88150, 90700
Support levels: 75000, 73570, 66830
A modest retracement towards the 88100 to 90700 range is possible before the price begins its descent. While Bitcoin may attempt a deeper pullback, the current market imbalance, coupled with the absence of a clear driving force or supportive factors, suggests that the price may continue to fall in the medium term, potentially reaching the liquidity zone between 75K and 73K
交易進行
Due to low liquidity over the weekend BTCUSD is consolidating.
But at the same time we have some important zones & levels emerging.
Resistance: 86560 - A breakdown and consolidation of the price above this level may trigger growth
Support: 83418 - Risk and panic zone. A breakdown and consolidation of the price below this level will provoke the continuation of the fall.
註釋
BTCUSD CMP 89234
Time to open short positions.
註釋
BTCUSD jumped sharply and rose more than 10% on news flow related to introduction of crypto reserve by Trump. I have closed my short position with SL. I will observe price action closely and will make short positions again if price is breaking key supporting levels again.
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