Continuation trade short 5/16/2019

I managed to trade this short twice already and should still be in this trade. There is not much volume right now on the pair but thats partly why I like it. Less manipulated.

This is a continuation of analysis done two weeks ago and this week. Re entering short on current retrace up.

What do you think about CADCHF? Any fundamental reasons I am wrong or right? Lemme know