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CADJPY BUY TRADE PLAN

68
🗓️ Date: June 12, 2025

📊 Type: Tactical Intraday Plan

📍 Execution Style: Confirmation-based (Market entry with candlestick validation)

🎯 Bias: Bullish intraday continuation

🔁 Order Style: Market (Confirmation Only)

🔍 Multi-Timeframe Breakdown
* Weekly: CADJPY holding a long-term bottoming formation between 103.00–106.00. Clean reclaim off prior wick lows (103.70) into a slow grind higher. Mid-structure chop, but signs of reversal forming.
* Daily: Price formed a bullish impulsive structure from the May lows. Recent pullback rejected at 104.80 support (prior daily OB). Wick rejection and higher close hint at demand pickup.
* 4H: BOS (break of structure) after retracement — bullish engulfing off demand near 105.20. Market retesting this area now. Solid internal HH/HL structure is forming.
* 1H: Sharp bounce off 105.30. Clean engulfing breakout of micro-structure, now printing small-bodied candles — sign of decision point near retest zone.

🧭 Trade Plan – Primary Bias: Buy (Bullish Continuation)
🔁 Entry Zone: 105.45 – 105.55

🛑 Stop Loss: 105.05 (below 1H bullish OB and internal structure)

🎯 Take Profits:
* TP1: 105.90 (recent swing high – partial close zone)
* TP2: 106.40 (4H supply rejection zone)
* TP3: 107.00 (D1 continuation target, HTF range edge)

📌 R:R: Approx. 1:2.8 to TP2, 1:4.5 to TP3
🔁 Trigger: 1H bullish candle from 105.45–105.55 zone OR strong reaction near NY open with volume

🧠 Why This Works:
* Clean bullish structure on all lower timeframes
* 4H engulfing + H1 reversal confluence
* HTF still in recovery zone – not in resistance
* Price respected prior OB and held internal liquidity under 105.20

❌ Invalidation Criteria:
* H1 bearish engulfing closes below 105.00
* NY open fails to produce volume follow-through
* DXY or risk flows shift against CAD

🔮 ForexGPT Elite Forecast Bias – CADJPY
Direction Probability Reason
🟢 Bullish 70% Structure breakout, bullish OB retest, H1 demand respected
🔴 Rejection Risk 30% If DXY strengthens or Yen spikes on risk-off, false break likely

📌 Execution Note (What I Would Do):
I would wait for NY session reaction — if price dips into 105.50 zone and prints bullish engulfing / M15 pin + volume, I’d enter with SL below 105.05. I’d take partials early and let the rest ride to 106.40+ if momentum holds.

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