The last two weeks for CLG2024 were wild. We rallied around +10% due to geopolitical and macroeconomics events and the last three days we saw a retrace around -5%. Now to the technical part of the chart. Oil reacted to the volume imbalance (checkpoint "1") pushing price to go lower . We are currently touching the bullish order-block (checkpoint "2") that should work as a support for the price to make it bounce higher, at least to the volume imbalance (checkpoint "5") or the Buyside liquidity resting to the checkpoint "7". On the other hand, if price does not react to the order-block oil could price lower to the Fair Value Gap (checkpoint "3" )and maybe touch the volume imbalance (checkpoint "4")(*Note that the lower doted line of the checkpoint 4 is also the 50% of the wick of the weekly candle that could also work by itself as a support). If we do not see a displacement higher we should assume that maybe price want to go lower to take the Sell-side Liquidity that is resting bellow the checkpoint "6" before heads for the upside. In my opinion after that pricing ,oil could go to the checkpoint "8" (that is the 50% of the wick of the daily candle) or draw to the the buyside liquidity at checkpoint "9". After all I think oil will price higher but before doing so it has to go to some key points that been stated above.
註釋
Look how perfect is the price action we marked. Price filled the volume imbalance and the FVG, and then priced higher to the upper volume imbalance where crude oil rejected