CoreWeave, Inc.
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$CRWV– Complex Kilroy Structure Extension & Pre-Earnings Setup

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After its IPO, CoreWeave (CRWV) exploded from $39 to $187, marking an impressive +380% gain in just a few months. However, after two missed earnings reports, sentiment cooled, leading to a broad retracement and multi-month consolidation. The upcoming earnings release could prove pivotal in determining whether CRWV breaks higher or continues its base-building phase.

Daily Chart Structure

On the daily timeframe, CRWV continues to evolve within a complex Kilroy Bottom — a variant of the inverted head-and-shoulders pattern, but now featuring two heads and a third right shoulder forming.

The first head sparked a brief but powerful rally.

The second head produced another strong reaction before fading back into range.

The second right shoulder retraced into September gap liquidity, touching the Ichimoku Cloud and lower Bollinger Band before rebounding.

The third right shoulder is now forming with stronger volume off the base, suggesting renewed accumulation interest despite broader market hesitation.

This evolving structure implies persistent demand absorption and the potential for a re-accumulation phase before a decisive move.

Gap Behavior & Market Sentiment

Historically, both prior gaps filled quickly — a signal of fragile trend conviction.
However, the most recent pre-market gap (10/11/25) has held its ground so far, supported by rising volume from the current right-shoulder base.

This indicates improving short-term sentiment, with buyers defending structure earlier in the move.

The key battleground remains the $148–$149 zone, aligning with:

The neckline of the full Kilroy structure

The upper boundary of the recent consolidation range

The high-volume node on the right-hand profile

The downtrend line from prior highs

A close above $149, confirmed by volume expansion, would complete the formation and open the door toward prior highs.

Support & Risk Levels

Below current price, structure now defines new levels for trade planning:

$133–$135: Minor support / previous gap-fill area

$119.5: Local reaction level and pivot zone

$104: Updated structural base of the current right-shoulder complex — must hold to maintain pattern integrity

$85: Deep retracement zone if sentiment turns sharply risk-off

As long as the third right shoulder continues to hold above $104, the broader bullish bias remains technically intact.

Technical Summary

✅ Pattern: Complex Kilroy Bottom (2H / 3RS)
✅ Trend: Stabilizing within a re-accumulation phase
📊 Key Resistance: $148–$149 (neckline + volume barrier + trendline)
⚠️ Support: $133 → $119 → $104
🎯 Upside Targets (if confirmed):
 • $187 → Post-IPO high retest
 • $217 → Full 1:1 measured-move projection
🔍 Trigger: Break and close above neckline with expanding volume

Final Notes

CoreWeave remains a volatile post-IPO growth play — technically constructive yet sentiment-sensitive.

The third right shoulder, coupled with rising buy-side volume and a holding pre-market gap, reflects emerging accumulation pressure. Confirmation, however, will hinge on whether price can reclaim the $148–$149 fenceline and sustain momentum above it.

A successful breakout would validate the entire Kilroy base, targeting the $187–$189 zone, while the $217 measured-move objective remains contingent on strong post-earnings follow-through.

For educational and technical analysis purposes only.
取消訂單
Invalidated with the right shoulder

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