1. (CRYPTO10) False Breakout Risk – The price might not sustain a breakout above 18,000, leading to a rejection below 17,500 before attempting another push.
2. Volume Confirmation – The volume seems inconsistent; a true bullish breakout would require increasing volume at key levels.
3. Trend Structure – The rounded bottom formation suggests a potential recovery, but a failure to hold above mid-range levels (~18,000) could result in sideways movement or a breakdown.
4. Macro Factors – External market conditions (interest rates, liquidity, BTC/crypto sentiment) could invalidate the upside scenario.
5. Bearish Retest Possibility – If the price breaks down below 17,343, we could see a deeper retracement instead of the expected move higher