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100-Year Cycle within Parallel Uptrend

TVC:DJI   道瓊斯工業平均指數
What it might look like if we have a 100-year market cycle that remains within a logarithmic parallel uptrend.

  • We typically stay within a parallel channel that has a 100 year cycle top to bottom
  • The majority of the time is spent in the bottom half of the channel
  • As we approach 100 years, we move into the upper half of that channel
  • Finally, we experience a euphoric rise to the top and then quickly correct back down to the bottom

This scenario would mimic the 1929 stock market crash almost exactly 100 years later in 2029, and the crash would take us back down to the bottom of the proposed channel.

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