- Where we are right now I have a +/- 10% range each way this is where I think we will realistically stay until , nearer the 2020 election where I will re-evaluate , based on data, I think the downward pull of confluence i.e Debt, Low profit, trade, will always be mitigated, by some policy or at least attempted to be mitigated.
Anyway , some issue with the 10% is that it is an arbitrary number and we have seen a 15% drop already earlier this year, while this could happen again, I think there is enough interest in keeping the markets high
Below I have taken the 2008 percentage crash from peak and applied it to now and have a wide net of time this can be applicable , this is just to show where I think we could go to based on history.