DJIA : The index should retrace after new ATH
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) has made a quick and powerful bounce from 17883 to 18873 points (Thursday). It represents a 5.5% increase in only one week. The victory of Donald Trump has apparently raised the idea that the new policies might spark a stronger economic growth.
After that short term progression, we can clearly see that the underlying trend is definitely bullish :
- the previous short term tops have all been passed
- a new all-time high (ATH) has been drawn
- this bounce approximately matches with a short term reversal point, according a cyclical analysis that highlights a 4.5 months periodicity taking place since July 2015.
On that situation, investors should probably wait a short term correction to enter long on the DJIA. Currently, the technical indicators (RSI + Stochastics) are overbought : it is not a reason to sell if you are already long, but it is definitely not the moment to enter long if you were not.
A congestion of the last week upside wave could have an amplitude of 62.8% (Fibo retracement + previous short term top) ; above that level, I will keep a close eye on that index to detect bullish reversal indications inside the correction.
Stay tuned for updates, and feel free to leave your views on comments
After that short term progression, we can clearly see that the underlying trend is definitely bullish :
- the previous short term tops have all been passed
- a new all-time high (ATH) has been drawn
- this bounce approximately matches with a short term reversal point, according a cyclical analysis that highlights a 4.5 months periodicity taking place since July 2015.
On that situation, investors should probably wait a short term correction to enter long on the DJIA. Currently, the technical indicators (RSI + Stochastics) are overbought : it is not a reason to sell if you are already long, but it is definitely not the moment to enter long if you were not.
A congestion of the last week upside wave could have an amplitude of 62.8% (Fibo retracement + previous short term top) ; above that level, I will keep a close eye on that index to detect bullish reversal indications inside the correction.
Stay tuned for updates, and feel free to leave your views on comments
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