long term trend is bearish and there is no trend reversal signal.
Following this trend, before the recent supply price about $4.46, I short the 0.618 positions of 1h retracement downtrend between $4.2 to %4.4, a pin bar, and 1h&15min MACD deviation, stop loss at 0.786.
Target1:$3.9(recent demand price)
Target2:$3-$3.1(according to my experience with Fibonacci)
Conservative profit-loss ratio is at least 3.62
This is my first time to share my opinions in the English area, because there are too few people in Chinese...