美元指數
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Despite long-term support, the dollar is eyeing deeper waters

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Although the US Dollar (USD) Index has connected with a monthly support area between 98.72 and 99.67, April’s lower low at 99.01 reached levels not seen since early 2022 and price crossing below the 50-month simple moving average (SMA) at 101.91 potentially questions this support zone.

Bolstering the likelihood of additional downside in the USD are the daily and H4 charts. The former exhibits scope to reach support at 98.58 (and formed a Death Cross [50-day SMA at 104.45 crossing below the 200-day SMA at 104.66]), while the latter completed a bearish pennant pattern (ruptured the lower boundary), extended from 100.64 and 99.01. As you can see, H4 action is currently retesting the underside of the breached pattern’s border.

In view of the above technical surroundings, USD shorts could have some gas left in the tank.

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