🟦 DXY 4H Analysis
📅 August 10, 2025
Top-Down Trend Bias:
• Monthly – Bearish
• Weekly – Bearish
• Daily – Bullish
• 4H – Bearish
The Dollar Index is consolidating near the 98.00 support zone after a sustained downtrend on the higher timeframes. Daily shows some bullish relief, but 4H remains under short-term pressure.
🔍 Key Zone: 98.00
This level is a critical decision point, acting as current support and aligning with a trendline from previous swing lows. A break or bounce here will likely set the tone for the next move.
✅ Scenario A: Bullish Breakout (Blue Path)
If price holds above 98.00 and breaks above the current pattern
Look for continuation into 98.75
Extended target: 99.25 resistance
This would be a countertrend move on the higher timeframes but aligns with the daily bullish structure.
⚠️ Scenario B: Bearish Breakdown (Orange Path)
If price breaks and closes below 98.00
Watch for retest rejection to confirm
Target: 97.15 support
This setup aligns with the overall HTF bearish bias and would signal downside continuation.
🧠 Final Notes
• 98.00 is the line in the sand for short-term direction
• Blue path is valid only on confirmed breakout; orange path is trend aligned
• Let price action at this key level confirm before committing
📅 August 10, 2025
Top-Down Trend Bias:
• Monthly – Bearish
• Weekly – Bearish
• Daily – Bullish
• 4H – Bearish
The Dollar Index is consolidating near the 98.00 support zone after a sustained downtrend on the higher timeframes. Daily shows some bullish relief, but 4H remains under short-term pressure.
🔍 Key Zone: 98.00
This level is a critical decision point, acting as current support and aligning with a trendline from previous swing lows. A break or bounce here will likely set the tone for the next move.
✅ Scenario A: Bullish Breakout (Blue Path)
If price holds above 98.00 and breaks above the current pattern
Look for continuation into 98.75
Extended target: 99.25 resistance
This would be a countertrend move on the higher timeframes but aligns with the daily bullish structure.
⚠️ Scenario B: Bearish Breakdown (Orange Path)
If price breaks and closes below 98.00
Watch for retest rejection to confirm
Target: 97.15 support
This setup aligns with the overall HTF bearish bias and would signal downside continuation.
🧠 Final Notes
• 98.00 is the line in the sand for short-term direction
• Blue path is valid only on confirmed breakout; orange path is trend aligned
• Let price action at this key level confirm before committing
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