DXY : Why does a stronger USD pose many risks?

As US growth remains strong and expectations of the Fed cutting interest rates gradually decrease, capital has poured into this country's market and the USD has increased, specifically 4% this year and shows no signs of stopping. .

This situation is made even more difficult by the influence of other countries. By the end of 2023, the US economy had grown by more than 8% compared to the end of 2019. Meanwhile, the UK, France, Germany and Japan had grown by less than 2%. USDJPY record high. EURUSD dropped to 1.07 from 1.10 USD at the beginning of the year. The market even predicts that the pair will reach parity early next year.

If Donald Trump wins in November, there will be many problems. A strong dollar tends to increase the price of US exports and lower the price of imports, increasing the persistent US trade deficit, which has been a nagging problem for Mr Trump for decades. Robert Lighthizer, who designed the tariffs against China while Mr. Trump was in the White House, wants to weaken the USD. President Joe Biden has not made any statements about currency, but the strong USD also makes it difficult for his plans.

However, a strong USD will benefit exporters whose costs are denominated in other currencies. But high US interest rates and a strong USD have also created imported inflation, which has been exacerbated by rising oil prices. Additionally, companies that have borrowed in USD face tougher repayments. On April 18, Kristalina Georgieva, head of the IMF, warned about the impact of these developments on global financial stability.