Price Action:
- It experienced a powerful rally from ₹2,200 to ₹3,877 (all-time high) between July and October 2024
- Recent correction formed a descending wedge pattern from October 2024 to early May 2025
- Currently showing an explosive breakout at ₹3,301.80, up ₹852.40 (+34.80%) in this Week.
- Massive single-week gain with a long bullish candle breaking above both resistance levels and the downtrend line
- The weekly chart shows a strong V-shaped recovery from support
Volume Analysis:
- This Week's volume at 2.28M shares vs. average of 420.79K (over 5x normal volume)
- Previous support bounces have also witnessed above-average volume
- Extremely high volume on today's breakout suggests significant institutional participation
- Volume pattern confirms the legitimacy of the price action
Key Support and Resistance:
- Strong support zone at ₹2,200-2,300 (green horizontal box) - tested and held multiple times over the past year
- Previous resistance now likely support at ₹3,200-3,250 (green horizontal line)
- Next resistance at all-time high of ₹3,877 (marked as "High")
- Downtrend line (white diagonal) now broken with conviction
Technical Patterns:
1. Descending Wedge Breakout- Classic bullish reversal pattern completed this week
2. Double Bottom*- Formed at ₹2,300 level in March-May 2025
3. Support Retest- Successfully retested the major support zone before the breakout
4. V-Shaped Recovery - Strong reversal indicating powerful buying interest
Trade Setup:
- Pattern: Descending wedge breakout with volume confirmation
- Confirmation: Explosive price action and volume expansion
- Context: Bullish reversal after testing major support zone
Entry Points:
1. Aggressive Entry: Current price (₹3,301.80) with partial position
2. Pullback Entry: On retest of breakout level ₹2,900-3,000
3. Confirmation Entry: On consolidation and holding above ₹3,200 for 2-3 sessions
Exit Strategy:
- Target 1: ₹3,600 (psychological resistance)
- Target 2: ₹3,877 (previous all-time high)
- Target 3: ₹4,200 (pattern projection based on measured move)
- Trailing Stop: 7% trailing stop after Target 1 is achieved
Stop Loss Placement:
- Aggressive Stop: ₹2,950 (below recent swing low)
- Conservative Stop: ₹2,800 (near the breakout point of the wedge)
- Pattern-Based Stop: ₹2,500 (invalidation level for the pattern)
Risk Management:
- Position sizing: Limit risk to 1-2% of trading capital
- Risk-reward ratio: Minimum 1:1.5 for aggressive entry, 1:2 for pullback entry
- Consider scaling approach:
* Enter 50% position now
* Add 25% on confirmation of trend (holding above ₹3,200)
* Add 25% on pullback (if it occurs)
- Take partial profits: 30% at Target 1, 30% at Target 2, hold remainder with trailing stop
Keep in the Watchlist.
NO RECO. For Buy/Sell.
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Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
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