2024-2025: A New Global Crisis with Echoes of 2008

In 2024, a new global crisis begins, and as usual, crises in the U.S. strongly impact the global economy, causing synchronized market declines worldwide. The S&P 500 market peak has been reached. The 2024–2025 crisis will be comparable in scale to the 2008 crisis, with a target decline range of 37-57% from the market peak. In terms of duration, the crisis is expected to persist throughout 2025 and may end in 2026. A more precise forecast of the crisis's conclusion can be made by monitoring the actions of the Federal Reserve, including changes in the United States Money Supply M2.