We had those two highs kissing 400 in June and September, but the crash after September only hit a low of 200, putting in a higher low.
We draw an ascending support connecting the lows in May, July, and September, creating the pattern.
An should resolve itself in the direction of the trend, in this case UP.
Added to that, we have a strong up trending 200 day moving average.
THESIS - Looking for the right confirmation:
We put in a higher low around 250 and bounce off of support and the converging 200 day moving average.
We head up towards the highs at 400.
After a small consolidation around 400 we breakout.
Total Position: .5-2% of Account Value (conservative - aggressive)
Add 1/3 position here in the consolidation range anticipating the bounce off the support.
Add 1/3 position on a small consolidation around 400.
Add final 1/3 position on breakout of 400.
Add more on a retrace and hold of 400 level.
Stop should be under the and 200 day moving average.
On a breakout of 400, the stop should be under 400.
600, which is 161.8% retracement of consolidation range of the
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I use Price Patterns, Moving Averages, and for my analysis.
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