📊 Ethereum (ETH/USDT) - Daily Outlook 📊
🔹 Current Price: $1,809
🔹 Key Levels:
🟢 Support: $1,762 (Fib 0.65), $1,915 (Fib 0.618)
🔴 Resistance: $2,481 (Fib 0.5), $3,047 (Fib 0.382)
🔮 Possible Scenarios:
📉 Scenario 1: Bounce from Fib 0.65 📈
ETH is testing the key golden pocket zone ($1,762–$1,915).
If buyers step in, we could see a relief rally towards the $2,000-$2,100 zone.
Breaking above $2,100 could trigger a move towards $2,480 (Fib 0.5).
🔹 Odds: 55/45
📈 Scenario 2: Break Below 0.65, Retest Lower Levels 🚨
If ETH loses $1,762, it may drop further towards the $1,600-$1,500 range.
Bearish EMAs (all sloping down) suggest ongoing downside pressure.
RSI is still weak, showing no strong reversal signals yet.
🔹 Odds: 45/55
⚠️ EMA & RSI Considerations
ETH is trading below all key EMAs (50, 100, 200), confirming a bearish structure.
RSI is hovering around 40 but not yet oversold, meaning more downside is possible.
A bullish divergence on RSI would strengthen the bounce scenario.
🎯 Key Watch Points:
1️⃣ Holding above $1,762-$1,915 zone = bullish potential.
2️⃣ Reclaiming 50 EMA ($2,100) = stronger confirmation for upside.
3️⃣ Losing $1,762 = further downside risk.
🚀 Short-term caution, but golden pocket zone [u](right now)[/u] could be a reversal opportunity, especially if you do believe in ETH in a long-term.
🔹 Current Price: $1,809
🔹 Key Levels:
🟢 Support: $1,762 (Fib 0.65), $1,915 (Fib 0.618)
🔴 Resistance: $2,481 (Fib 0.5), $3,047 (Fib 0.382)
🔮 Possible Scenarios:
📉 Scenario 1: Bounce from Fib 0.65 📈
ETH is testing the key golden pocket zone ($1,762–$1,915).
If buyers step in, we could see a relief rally towards the $2,000-$2,100 zone.
Breaking above $2,100 could trigger a move towards $2,480 (Fib 0.5).
🔹 Odds: 55/45
📈 Scenario 2: Break Below 0.65, Retest Lower Levels 🚨
If ETH loses $1,762, it may drop further towards the $1,600-$1,500 range.
Bearish EMAs (all sloping down) suggest ongoing downside pressure.
RSI is still weak, showing no strong reversal signals yet.
🔹 Odds: 45/55
⚠️ EMA & RSI Considerations
ETH is trading below all key EMAs (50, 100, 200), confirming a bearish structure.
RSI is hovering around 40 but not yet oversold, meaning more downside is possible.
A bullish divergence on RSI would strengthen the bounce scenario.
🎯 Key Watch Points:
1️⃣ Holding above $1,762-$1,915 zone = bullish potential.
2️⃣ Reclaiming 50 EMA ($2,100) = stronger confirmation for upside.
3️⃣ Losing $1,762 = further downside risk.
🚀 Short-term caution, but golden pocket zone [u](right now)[/u] could be a reversal opportunity, especially if you do believe in ETH in a long-term.
交易結束：目標達成
Unfortunately, Ethereum decided to visit lower lows and went with scenario 2.
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