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EURNZD BUY TRADE PLAN

49
🔥 EUR/NZD – 28 June 2025 TRADE PLAN 🔥

📋 Plan Overview

Parameter Details
Type Intra-Day
Direction Long
Status Pending (Awaiting zone tap + confirmation)
R:R 1:3+
Confidence High (85%)

📈 Market Bias

EUR/NZD remains in a bullish structure on H4/D1, consolidating after the breakout above 1.9300 zone. We are looking at a continuation play from a refined M15-H1 demand zone after a minor retrace.

🔰 Confidence Factors

✅ HTF confluence: D1 + H4 bullish structure
✅ M15 OB + H1 BOS
✅ Clear volume alignment — recent breakout supported by high volume
✅ No macro/fundamental contradictions

📍 Entry Zone(s)

🟩 Primary Buy Zone: 1.9315 – 1.9290
(H1 OB + M15 refinement + volume base + inducement layer)

❗ Stop Loss Reasoning

SL: 1.9255
Placed well below the OB + liquidity sweep low, outside minor wicks, beyond noise zone.

🎯 Take Profit Targets

🥇 TP1: 1.9365 (minor H1 structure high, ~50 pips / ~1.5R)
🥈 TP2: 1.9400 (HTF resistance, ~90 pips / ~3R)
🥉 TP3: 1.9450 (extended runner, swing high test)

🧠 Management Logic

Risk 1% of account on this setup
Take 33% at TP1 → move SL to breakeven
Take 33% at TP2 → trail remainder on H1 fractals
Exit all if H1 BOS down confirmed

⚠️ Entry Confirmation Conditions

M15 bullish engulfing or BOS in zone
NY or London session volume spike
Preferable: SMT divergence with correlated pairs
⏳ Trade Validity Window

H1 setup = 12-24 hours

❌ Invalidation

Clean close below 1.9260 on H1
HTF shift bearish (D1 rejection candle, H4 BOS down)

🌐 Macro Snapshot

EUR relatively supported by broader risk tone
NZD quiet macro tone, no key news
Cross: EUR/USD holding above supports
Sentiment score: +7/10 (risk-on bias, no major headwinds)

✅ Summary

👉 Entry Zone: 1.9315–1.9290
👉 SL: 1.9255
👉 TP1: 1.9365
👉 TP2: 1.9400
👉 TP3: 1.9450
👉 Risk: ~30-50 pips
👉 Reward (TP2): ~90+ pips → R:R = 1:3+

Status: Pending zone tap + confirmation
交易結束:目標達成
TP2+ reached, close or let 20% run to final TP

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