EURUSD Bearish Butterfly Pattern Formation @ 4-Hour Timeframe
EURUSD is currently forming a Butterfly Harmonic Pattern (XABCD) on the 4-hour timeframe. This pattern is characterized by specific Fibonacci ratios between the price swings. The pattern consists of four legs: XA, AB, BC, and CD. The completion point, known as Point D, is expected to coincide with a key Resistance level.
Trendline Analysis:
Additionally, there is a trendline that intersects with the completion point of the Butterfly pattern. This trendline further reinforces the potential resistance at Point D and suggests a strong level of selling pressure.
Bearish Momentum Expected:
Based on the formation of the Butterfly Harmonic Pattern and the confluence with the trendline resistance, we anticipate a shift in momentum towards the downside. This suggests a bearish outlook for EURUSD.
Entry, Stop Loss, and Take Profit Levels:
Entry: We recommend taking a short position at 1.06800, which aligns with the anticipated reversal point (Point D) of the Butterfly pattern and the resistance level.
Stop Loss: To manage risk, a stop loss should be placed at 1.07180, just above the recent swing high. This level provides a buffer against potential market volatility while allowing room for the trade to develop.
Take Profit Targets:
We have identified two take profit levels:
Conclusion:
In conclusion, the EURUSD pair is exhibiting signs of a potential bearish reversal as it forms a Butterfly Harmonic Pattern along with a trendline resistance on the 4-hour timeframe. Traders may consider short positions with an entry at 1.06800, a stop loss at 1.07180, and take profit targets at 1.06400 and 1.06025. It's essential to monitor price action closely and adjust positions accordingly as the trade develops.
Trendline Analysis:
Additionally, there is a trendline that intersects with the completion point of the Butterfly pattern. This trendline further reinforces the potential resistance at Point D and suggests a strong level of selling pressure.
Bearish Momentum Expected:
Based on the formation of the Butterfly Harmonic Pattern and the confluence with the trendline resistance, we anticipate a shift in momentum towards the downside. This suggests a bearish outlook for EURUSD.
Entry, Stop Loss, and Take Profit Levels:
Entry: We recommend taking a short position at 1.06800, which aligns with the anticipated reversal point (Point D) of the Butterfly pattern and the resistance level.
Stop Loss: To manage risk, a stop loss should be placed at 1.07180, just above the recent swing high. This level provides a buffer against potential market volatility while allowing room for the trade to develop.
Take Profit Targets:
We have identified two take profit levels:
- TP-1: Set the first take profit target at 1.06400. This level corresponds to a significant support area and offers a reasonable profit target based on the expected bearish momentum.
- TP-2: The second take profit target is set at 1.06025, aiming for a deeper retracement. This level aligns with a previous swing low and provides a more ambitious target for profit-taking.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, the EURUSD pair is exhibiting signs of a potential bearish reversal as it forms a Butterfly Harmonic Pattern along with a trendline resistance on the 4-hour timeframe. Traders may consider short positions with an entry at 1.06800, a stop loss at 1.07180, and take profit targets at 1.06400 and 1.06025. It's essential to monitor price action closely and adjust positions accordingly as the trade develops.