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GBP/JPY Lower Timeframe Breakdown – Bearish Harmonic Confluence

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This lower timeframe analysis aligns with the broader bearish Elliott Wave structure from the previous chart. Here’s what we can see:

1. Harmonic Pattern Completion at Key Resistance
The market is forming a Bearish Gartley (or Bat) pattern, with D-leg completion near 194.843.

XA, AB, BC, and CD legs align with Fibonacci levels:

B retracement ~0.566

C extension ~1.292

D completion ~0.739

This confluence suggests a high-probability reversal zone in the 194.000 - 194.800 range.

2. Liquidity & Supply Zones Align with Short Setup
1H Fair Value Gap (FVG) at 194.029 - 194.843 acts as a strong resistance.

Equal Highs (EQH) near 194.029, meaning potential liquidity grab before reversal.

S-LND High-S & NY High (~193.5 - 194.0) are liquidity pools where price may induce buyers before dumping.

3. Lower Timeframe Confirmation for Entry
The label "Enter after a valid entry model only" suggests waiting for:

Break of structure (BOS) on a lower timeframe (M5/M15).

Rejection wicks / bearish engulfing pattern at the supply zone (~194.8).

Failure to hold above 194.8 would invalidate the setup.

4. Targets for Wave (5) Down
First target: 192.000 (S-TK-S Low)

Second target: 191.000 (S-NY Low-S)

Final target: 190.400 - 190.500 (Major liquidity zone)

5. Trade Execution Plan
📉 Sell Entry: After price reaches 194.0 - 194.8 and shows rejection.
🎯 Take Profits:

TP1: 192.000

TP2: 191.000

TP3: 190.400
❌ Stop Loss: Above 195.000 (invalidates the setup).

Conclusion
This harmonic + Elliott Wave confluence strengthens the bearish outlook.

Patience is key—wait for price action confirmation before shorting.

The target zone of 190.400 aligns with the larger timeframe bearish bias.
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