GBP/JPY Bearish Setup: FVG Retest Before Drop Toward 192.899

Technical analysis for GBP/JPY on the 1-hour timeframe, focusing on key resistance levels, a fair value gap (FVG), and potential downside targets. Here's the breakdown of the trading idea:


---

Technical Overview

1. Resistance Zone & FVG

Price has recently rejected from a strong resistance zone (~196.00–196.70).

A Fair Value Gap (FVG) around 195.80–196.00 remains unfilled, and price may revisit this zone before continuing lower.


2. EMA Structure

The price is currently below both the 50 EMA (195.46) and 200 EMA (195.38) — confirming short-term bearish pressure.

EMAs may act as dynamic resistance if price retests upward.


3. Bearish Price Projection

The chart suggests a possible short-term bounce to fill the FVG, followed by a sell-off.

The expected move points toward a target at 192.899, near a previous demand/support area.


4. RSI Indicator

RSI is currently around 39.22, indicating bearish momentum but not yet oversold, allowing room for further downside.



---

Conclusion / Idea Summary

Bias: Bearish

Entry Zone: Near 195.80–196.00 (on potential FVG retest)

Targets:

Main target: 192.899


Invalidation: Strong breakout and close above resistance (~196.70)



---
Feedback My idea like and comment's 🙏