GBPJPY reversed after UK inflation data earlier , however it has retraced to significant 200 EMA level and areas of previous good volume / reversal points ( see chart )
Given also that :
200 Hourly EMA providing technical resistance
Running into a cluster of previous volume areas
Overall recent trend is still bullish
Despite the data this morning giving GBP a push lower , this move appears way too aggressive for the data and likely more position covering than fundamental given that :
Bank of England still expect inflation to peak at 3.75% in Q3
Energy , Tariffs and general uncertainty in the market
Some analysts still calling for 4% in April and May
Stop 192.85
Entry 193.80
Target 194.85
Good risk reward 1:1 good reversal probability given the above observations .
Possible retrace as US markets arrive but overall sentiment remains .
Given also that :
200 Hourly EMA providing technical resistance
Running into a cluster of previous volume areas
Overall recent trend is still bullish
Despite the data this morning giving GBP a push lower , this move appears way too aggressive for the data and likely more position covering than fundamental given that :
Bank of England still expect inflation to peak at 3.75% in Q3
Energy , Tariffs and general uncertainty in the market
Some analysts still calling for 4% in April and May
Stop 192.85
Entry 193.80
Target 194.85
Good risk reward 1:1 good reversal probability given the above observations .
Possible retrace as US markets arrive but overall sentiment remains .
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