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GBPJPY Bullish Breakout – Watch for Momentum Towards 194.60

4 824
GBPJPY has broken out of a descending wedge and is now retesting the breakout zone near 189.50–189.80. This area aligns with previous structure support and the wedge's upper boundary. Price action indicates bullish momentum is resuming.

🔑 Key Levels:
Current Price: 189.66

Breakout Level: ~189.50

Resistance Targets:

TP1: 190.55 (recent resistance high)

TP2: 192.57

TP3: 194.61 (key supply/weekly resistance zone)

✅ Bullish Confluence:
Breakout from falling wedge pattern

Strong retest of breakout zone with consolidation

Higher low formation and bullish engulfing attempt

No major resistance until 190.50, providing clean upside

🧠 Fundamental Context:
CBI Report (UK): Sentiment and investment outlook among UK manufacturers is deteriorating, but the pound has shown resilience likely driven by broader risk-on market sentiment.

BOJ Outlook (Japan): IMF suggests BOJ is likely to delay further rate hikes due to global uncertainty from US tariffs, maintaining a dovish bias. This weakens the yen’s fundamental strength.

Market Mood: With Japan facing delayed policy tightening and UK's inflation still above target, GBPJPY favors the bullish case in the short term.

💡 Trade Idea:
Bias: Bullish above 189.30

Entry: On retest confirmation around 189.50

Target 1: 190.55

Target 2: 192.57

Target 3: 194.61

Stop Loss: Below 188.80

📌 Note: Keep an eye on US data and BOJ tone shifts. Any risk-off shift in global markets could affect yen strength unexpectedly.
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