Elliot and Minsky models are pretty well known. You can read up on them if you are not aware of them.
If we take a very long term look at gold, we can see it has completed all the section of what would be expected in a Minsky bubble. The "New Paradigm" is usually at a round number break and supported by overwhelming news. In this case we have $2,000 and the record inflation.
Elliot wave also looks pretty clear. A main concern for Elliot with the short if wave 5 is not very extended and I always feel better about wave 5s if they hit 161 extensions. But the requirement for Elliot is just a false breakout. That might have been it.
If these models play out and we also see the implied bear move in indices - this would seem to paint a horrific picture. One in which risk and hedge assets get slammed. It'd be a wealth destruction event for most people.
This would also fit in with the next bubble us being due to see being the USD.
If we take a very long term look at gold, we can see it has completed all the section of what would be expected in a Minsky bubble. The "New Paradigm" is usually at a round number break and supported by overwhelming news. In this case we have $2,000 and the record inflation.
Elliot wave also looks pretty clear. A main concern for Elliot with the short if wave 5 is not very extended and I always feel better about wave 5s if they hit 161 extensions. But the requirement for Elliot is just a false breakout. That might have been it.
If these models play out and we also see the implied bear move in indices - this would seem to paint a horrific picture. One in which risk and hedge assets get slammed. It'd be a wealth destruction event for most people.
This would also fit in with the next bubble us being due to see being the USD.
We may be inside of a crash event to 3000 in SPX.
Read the full case with backlog of historic analysis/forecasts here: holeyprofitnewsletter.substack.com/p/the-case-for-3000-in-spx
Read the full case with backlog of historic analysis/forecasts here: holeyprofitnewsletter.substack.com/p/the-case-for-3000-in-spx
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We may be inside of a crash event to 3000 in SPX.
Read the full case with backlog of historic analysis/forecasts here: holeyprofitnewsletter.substack.com/p/the-case-for-3000-in-spx
Read the full case with backlog of historic analysis/forecasts here: holeyprofitnewsletter.substack.com/p/the-case-for-3000-in-spx
免責聲明
這些資訊和出版物並不意味著也不構成TradingView提供或認可的金融、投資、交易或其他類型的意見或建議。請在使用條款閱讀更多資訊。