This setup presents a potential bearish scenario underpinned by Smart Money Concepts, volume analysis, and structure invalidation at premium zones.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
Weak High in Premium Zone:
Price failed to convincingly break above the last swing high, forming a weak high.
Rejection from this premium supply area indicates a lack of bullish follow-through.
Change of Character (CHoCH) → Bearish Bias:
Recent CHoCH printed after a bullish BOS earlier in the structure.
Suggests potential shift from bullish structure to distribution phase.
Volume Analysis:
Volume is declining on bullish candles while spiking on red – early distribution signal.
Imbalance zones remain unfilled.
Target Zones:
📌 Equilibrium Zone ~ $3,040–$3,080.
📌 Secondary Demand Zones: $2,960 and $2,880.
Stronger demand and liquidity pockets rest lower, potentially magnetizing price.
📉 Probabilistic Forecast:
🔻 65% chance of retracement to equilibrium zone within the next 5–10 sessions.
🔺 35% chance of bullish invalidation if price reclaims and closes above $3,350.
🔄 Strategy Idea (Not Financial Advice):
Look for confirmation of lower highs or liquidity grabs around $3,310–$3,330 for potential short entries.
Tight stop above weak high; target near equilibrium.
📊 Powered by: WaverVanir DSS | SMC | Volume Imbalances | Order Flow Bias
#GoldFutures #SMC #VolumeProfile #TradingView #WaverVanir #AlgoTrading #MacroTA
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
Weak High in Premium Zone:
Price failed to convincingly break above the last swing high, forming a weak high.
Rejection from this premium supply area indicates a lack of bullish follow-through.
Change of Character (CHoCH) → Bearish Bias:
Recent CHoCH printed after a bullish BOS earlier in the structure.
Suggests potential shift from bullish structure to distribution phase.
Volume Analysis:
Volume is declining on bullish candles while spiking on red – early distribution signal.
Imbalance zones remain unfilled.
Target Zones:
📌 Equilibrium Zone ~ $3,040–$3,080.
📌 Secondary Demand Zones: $2,960 and $2,880.
Stronger demand and liquidity pockets rest lower, potentially magnetizing price.
📉 Probabilistic Forecast:
🔻 65% chance of retracement to equilibrium zone within the next 5–10 sessions.
🔺 35% chance of bullish invalidation if price reclaims and closes above $3,350.
🔄 Strategy Idea (Not Financial Advice):
Look for confirmation of lower highs or liquidity grabs around $3,310–$3,330 for potential short entries.
Tight stop above weak high; target near equilibrium.
📊 Powered by: WaverVanir DSS | SMC | Volume Imbalances | Order Flow Bias
#GoldFutures #SMC #VolumeProfile #TradingView #WaverVanir #AlgoTrading #MacroTA
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