Risk aversion eases, gold continues to fluctuate

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Spot gold prices (XAU/USD) fluctuated and fell, approaching the $3,300 mark, continuing the weak trend of the previous trading day.

From the daily chart, gold prices have fallen from their historical highs and are currently approaching the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level (US$3,300-3,290). The key support level below is concentrated in the $3,265-3,260 range, which is also the previous consolidation range. If it falls below, it will open up the space for a 50% retracement level (US$3,225) or even $3,200.

In terms of technical indicators, the MACD indicator shows signs of a dead cross, and the green kinetic energy column expands moderately, indicating that short-term bears still have the initiative; the RSI indicator is still oscillating near the 50 axis, and has not yet shown extreme oversold, indicating that the downside space may be limited. Once the price rebounds, the initial resistance above is seen at $3,348-3,353.

After the breakthrough, it is expected to re-challenge the $3,400 mark, and even attack $3,425-3,427.

If the US PCE inflation and non-farm data weaken this week, it will further support the re-entry of gold bulls.

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