GOOGL Swing Trade Plan – 2025-06-06

📈 GOOGL Swing Trade Plan – 2025-06-06
Bias: Moderately Bullish
Timeframe: 7–10 days
Catalyst: Ongoing AI sector momentum, low VIX, strong long-term trend
Trade Type: Single-leg call option

🧠 Model Summary Table
Model Direction Strike Entry Price Targets Stop Confidence
Grok Moderately Bullish $182.50 $0.92 +50% -50% 72%
Claude Moderately Bearish $170 PUT $1.95 +50–100% -30% 75%
Llama Moderately Bullish $182.50 $0.92 +50–70% -20–30% 80%
Gemini Moderately Bullish $182.50 $0.92 $1.38 / $1.84 $0.45 75%
DeepSeek Neutral (No Trade) — — — — 60%

✅ Consensus: Moderately Bullish
⚠️ Short-Term Disagreement: Claude and DeepSeek flag short-term overbought risk

📉 Technical & Sentiment Summary
Price Action: Strong bullish trend on daily/weekly; 15-min extended

RSI: Overbought on short-term, but daily RSI has room

MACD: Mixed intraday, bullish daily

Sentiment: AI hype supportive, VIX declining

Max Pain: $165 → minor resistance bias, unlikely to dominate

✅ Final Trade Setup
Parameter Value
Instrument GOOGL
Direction CALL (LONG)
Strike $182.50
Expiry 2025-06-20
Entry Price $0.92
Profit Target $1.38 (+50%)
Stop Loss $0.64 (–30%)
Size 1 contract
Entry Timing At market open
Confidence 75%

💡 Rationale: 4 of 5 models lean bullish; solid R/R from this OTM strike with tight premium.

⚠️ Risks to Watch
15-min chart overbought RSI could cause chop early next week

MACD divergence on lower timeframes may delay breakout

Max Pain at $165 could cap upside short-term if momentum fades

Time decay intensifies midweek → stick to stop or trail profits