$LVMUY

Anyone else noticing the nice potential long setup for $LVMUY. I have ran a fib on the monthly chart from ATL to ATH and current price is trading near the .50 fib. This could be a could chance for a stab at a reversal. There is obviously potential that this continues to slide further but with the proper risk/reward this could be a great entry for a long hold or even possibly a straddle. Further more, I could see this potentially bottoming out a little further, maybe around $95 but why miss the long term play for a few extra % (~12%).. I’m thinking about taking a small position at current price with a super tight stop and if I get stopped just wait for a re-entry at a slightly lower price. This is definitely a long term play and don’t see much more downside on this. Unfortunately this gem has been punished by Trump’s tariffs and is just a matter of time before the moat shines again.


Trade

Buy at market $108.88

TP1: $142 (.382) ~+30%
TP2: $154 (.50) ~+41%
TP3: $180 (.618) ~+65%


Fundamentals:

Financial Overview (Fiscal Year 2024)
•Revenue: €84.68 billion (~$91.64 billion), a slight decrease of 1.71% from the previous year. 
•Net Income: €12.55 billion (~$13.58 billion), down 17.3% year-over-year. 
•Earnings Per Share (EPS): €25.13 (~$5.44), a 17.18% decline from the prior year. 
•Free Cash Flow: €14.21 billion (~$14.71 billion), indicating strong cash generation.

Profitability Metrics
•Gross Margin: 67.03% 
•Operating Margin: 23.12% 
•Net Profit Margin: 14.82% 
•Return on Equity (ROE): 18.97%
•Return on Assets (ROA): 8.41%
•Return on Capital Employed (ROCE): 16.37% 


Valuation & Dividend Information
•Market Capitalization: Approximately $360.64 billion. 
•Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: 27.45 
•Forward P/E Ratio: 21.11
•Price-to-Sales (P/S) Ratio: 4.07
•Price-to-Free Cash Flow (P/FCF) Ratio: 26.38 
•Dividend Per Share: €13.00 (~$2.23) 
•Dividend Yield: 1.67% 
•Payout Ratio: 51.73% 


Balance Sheet Highlights
•Total Assets: €143.69 billion (~$155.52 billion) 
•Total Debt: €38.88 billion (~$42.76 billion) 
•Cash & Short-Term Investments: €11.26 billion (~$14.09 billion) 
•Net Debt: €31.10 billion (~$28.67 billion) 
•Equity (Book Value): €61.02 billion (~$71.73 billion)