Mastercard Incorporated
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A whole new type of cash back offer - LONG at 562.03

242
I've posted ideas about MA before. I will continue posting buy ideas about MA until the final breath leaves my body. The average credit card APR is 24.3% - I think this trade can do better. Around 60% APR on average, with a good chance at 270%+ APR.

MA is in a multi-year uptrend, only 2 days removed from its all time high. Smoked today not because they lost their CEO or their business model is a failure, but because two historic enemies took shots at each other halfway across the world. While I won't completely ignore geopolitics, its effects are almost always transitory. I literally can't find a better reason to buy this as a short term blip in their long term story.

On a day where, when the whole market fell just over 1%, MA fell 4x that. I will take that gift and run wild with it. Historically, MA has never failed to produce a profitable trade for me, with an average gain of +.24% per trading day (that's 60% annualized). The average trade length has been 7 days and gained 1.7%.

However, using an additional filter, the per day returns for the last 25 trades have increased to +1.07% per trading day (270% annualized). That's 4x the old returns and almost 25x the long term average daily return of the S&P 500. The average trade length has shortened to 5.5 trading days and produced an increased average return of 2.45% as well.

Additional lots may be added if the signal is re-triggered before I close it. There is no specific profit target, but I will redeem my cash back offer and close any lot end of day when an exit signal is triggered and the lot is profitable.

As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
交易結束:目標達成
That extra day did not improve things all that much, but that's life. Sold the position at 569.45 today for a 2 day gain of 1.32%. It's a 166% APR so I'm making more than MA is, I guess. Wins are wins.
註釋
Trade results for my records

Wins 1 Losses 0

Avg. gain per lot = +1.32%
Avg holding periods = 2 trading days
Avg gain per lot per day held = +0.66%
Annualized RoR = 0.66% x 252 = +166%

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