$MSTU – Breakout Brewing or Bull Trap? Here’s My Take

6月11日

Swing Setup | Risk/Reward 3:1 | Watching MACD & Ichimoku

📊 This is a leveraged ETF that tracks MSTR, and it’s setting up for a potential breakout. Here’s the breakdown:

🔍 Chart Context:

Price: $8.11 (as of June 11, 2025)
Target: $11.40 area (+40.57%)
Stop: $7.07 (–12.82%)
R:R: 3.16 – attractive setup for swing or momentum traders.
📈 Technical Breakdown:

✅ MACD Histogram just flipped positive. That’s a momentum shift after weeks of red. We’re at the zero line—any crossover here historically leads to explosive moves in leveraged ETFs like this.

✅ Ichimoku Cloud: Price is above the cloud, which is thin and transitioning to bullish. Lagging span (Chikou) is starting to clear previous price action. This is a classic bullish continuation signal—only if price confirms.

✅ Structure: Consolidation zone forming a base at ~$8.00. We've had several failed breakdowns, and bulls have absorbed the selling. If it clears $8.50 with volume, I expect short-covering and fresh entries to flood in.

⚠️ Resistance Zones:

$9.15: Local high and volume shelf
$11.40: Target based on prior impulse leg (April rally leg cloned)
💡 Strategy:

I’m long with size, aiming for a 40%+ move, using MSTR’s volatility as tailwind.
Stop is below recent higher low — invalidation is clean.
If it breaks $8.50 with strength and MSTR joins the move, I’ll consider adding.
🔄 This is a leveraged play—don’t diamond hand it. Monitor daily. It can move 10-15% in a single session.

Drop your thoughts or alternative plays. Are you using MSTU or trading MSTR directly?

3 天前

交易進行

Here we go - buying more now: