Natural gas is stuck, but nearing a move

Natural gas has been oscillating in a wide range between $2.34 and $2.60, give or take a few cents. $2.50 support/resistance has been the decision level for a sharp move in either direction. At this point, both extremities have been tested multiple times , weakening both support and resistance. I believe that if natural gas bounces here and tests the higher extremity, it will be broken with ease. However , the longer it stays near the bottom of the range, a break of $2.34 becomes likely and a fall to the $2.20 level materializes. $2.20 is roughly the top of the resistance channel that natural gas has been stuck in since December of last year (highlighted by the green box). That flush might wipe out the remaining stops and a big portion of the bulls that are remaining in natural gas, which could yield a nice bounce and trigger a short squeeze.