Nifty’s Make-or-Break Zone: Will Bulls Charge or Bears Bite?

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https://www.tradingview.com/chart/unkvGvvC/
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### 🧠 **1. Context at-a-glance**

- Recent bounce from a **Demand Zone (D1 Key Level)** around **21,800**.
- Strong bullish rally into a **Supply Zone (~22,600–22,750)**.
- Price is currently showing **hesitation within this resistance**, with smaller-bodied candles forming → potential reversal signals.
- The oscillator has **crossed bullish** from oversold but is nearing a decision zone.

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### 🔮 **Future Move Scenarios**

#### 🟥 SCENARIO A: **Rejection from Supply Zone** (Most Likely Short-Term)
- **Why?** Price has hit a resistance with fading momentum and no breakout confirmation.
- **What happens?**
- Price retraces toward **22,200**, potentially even **21,800–21,900**.
- Retest of BOS level possible before the next directional leg.
- **Watch for:** Bearish candle formations (engulfing / long wicks), oscillator stalling below 50.

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#### 🟩 SCENARIO B: **Bullish Breakout Above 22,750**
- **What confirms it?**
- A strong bullish candle closing above 22,750 with follow-through.
- **Next Targets:**
- 🔼 **23,000** (round level and minor resistance)
- 🔼 **23,300–23,500** (old supply zone)
- Eventually back to **23,750+**
- **Oscillator support:** If the indicator crosses 50+, bullish momentum could sustain.

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### 📉 Oscillator Hints:
- Still below 50 — **recovery in progress**, not full momentum yet.
- If price rejects and oscillator drops → **Bearish divergence** possibility.

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### 🧭 **Your Playbook**

| Zone | Action Idea | Trigger to Watch |
|------------------|-------------------------------|----------------------------------|
| 22,600–22,750 | Short / Hedge | Rejection candle, loss of momentum |
| 22,200–22,300 | Potential buy zone (aggressive) | Bullish candle or bounce confirmation |
| Break > 22,750 | Buy on Retest or Momentum | Breakout candle + volume |
| < 21,800 | Bearish continuation | Break of demand zone + close below |

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