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NQ Long (01-09-23)

NAZ did go channel to channel on Friday and is now in Mid Uptrend Channel. Looking for a Drop/Pop near yellow TLX, this should pop it above 12/22 range high. Watch the speed of 1st drop/pull back snap back, if quick stay Long / slow or weak be cautious. O/N will most likely prop the NAZ up by Open, Open will sell off and retest TLX or Friday KL's, Dead Zone will use some magic dust to push NAZ back up and go sideways until the final test, the Close (not sure of this PA). I am a certified Fortune Teller or this has been the typical pattern forever and a new year.

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Drop Test Examples after a rally. Using Friday PA Range: The 3rd one down is what I expect now, you will see some O/N propping (after initial rally) and then the huge drop. Should NAZ retest lower and hold, let it rally and process may repeat. 1st stall or failed drop test, NAZ may drop big.

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4HR Chart, TLX 11052 is Long above. Strong Long near 10950. Grey Box is through Friday, yellow lines are KL's, 10/17 white TL's should be range for week. Upper Grey Box test or break after TLX or Strong Long bounce. Box top failure is Short Zone.

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Watch the Diag TL near Open

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Noticing some push pull in the PA, this will need to end for solid long rally. Expect 1st30M to drop 1st15M and possibly pop 2nd15M. Just feel that 11300 would of happened in O/N with the Riggers, the fact it did not is off Rigger pattern. More of reason for the need of a Drop/Pop to shake things up.

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Scalping is back. Chart is IDS20 with 30 point bracket from MA, Stoch is in oversold, go long for scalp. Current Long, notice half drop on Stoch. This could pop or head fake and drop. Notice the TL with slightly higher lows, 1st lower low and NAZ may start a Drop/Pop. Point is that if you placed a Long when NAZ was at MA, with 30 Stop, you would of had a few scalps while you wait for the NAZ to most likely drop near Open or 1st 30M.

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Back after Open, 11108 Gap was never filled. O/N high by Open usually does not get passed in Open Session. Pump Dump was the play after many 1 day rallies. Still trail from Friday or look to take profit and reload Long. Just feel that the NAZ may need a serious drop/test to confirm strength.

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Stay Short under 11235 for now.

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Just a scalp Short

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The idea

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1st15M is pushing higher, No short for now. Stall reaction is next clue or up away we go.

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11235 is KL as NAZ may rotate around or retest 235

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At Channel Top and slowing, should see Pull Back and not a Short. Should NAZ keep floating will most likely set up better Drop/Test during Dead Zone. 340 may be max.

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Watch 11235

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Pull Back at KL 384 to 11339, Top MOP. Closing Long at 384

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429 is upper pivot.

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Top 1st 30M test should show up.

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339 test should try 320 for bounce. Too quick to/near Box Top.

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Decent Gap

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Pattern may change under 384, during Dead Zone. Possibly back up on support.

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11365 is KL for decent PB or Short.

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Slow roll under 384, place stop above 384. Scalp PB. Looking like fake pop at 365. Ticks should go negative or close short. Edge Trade, may be early. as shake out is common.

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NAZ may drop should the sideways stall not pass 384 and stay above. NAZ is double to triple other indexes. Anyway 11500 is my big drop zone for the NAZ. Just watch the head fake if you are Long. Just feel more points on next Pull Back than next leg higher. Back after Dead Zone and near close.

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Ticks now -500 plus, Long Trap/Drop test may play out some. I am looking Long above 384 on retest from above.

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11235 and above may be FOMO push. Just did not feel strong. Dow looks like it may go flat? Games continue.

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365 Short did get 339 test and bounce, look for 320 on next 339 test

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320 Hit

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Dow Flat and Ticks -800 ish

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Under top 1st 30M

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Try to find why the NAZ is dropping? Just Kl to KL moves

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11260 may bounce

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The 100 point drop was the 1st drop test

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Push Pull is back, Dead Zone Drop Test and Long Trap so far

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Mentioned 11235, may hit bounce. This is most likely a Drop Test

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So far not getting bought, not good for Longs

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11235 Did get a 2nd shot

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Weak drop test, NAZ back to Bear.

手動結束交易

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KL's

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11235 KL is also a Pivot, drop 100 to 11135 may bounce or hold as support. 100 point runs tend to turn or redirect. O/N current low is 11125. 11117 is KL and Gap Fill just below.