Market Update: NASDAQ 100 Analysis

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📈 The NASDAQ 100 is currently trading at 18,075.00, which represents a -22.6% decline from the all-time high of 22,425.75. This marks a significant drop from its peak, entering into what could be classified as a bear market by traditional standards.

📊The previous decline from the high of 16,800.00 in November 2021 saw a decline of 37.47%, eventually bottoming out at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (10,514.25), from which it staged a significant recovery to reach the all-time high of 22,425.75.

📊Current Demand Zones & Fibonacci Levels:
These zones represent potential reversal areas where buyers could regain control. The Fibonacci retracement levels align well with historical price action, reinforcing their significance as support zones.

DZ-1 (17,539.00-16,334.85):Approximately the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the recent bull rally

DZ-2 (16,334.85-15,384.25):Approximately the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement - Historically a strong support level

DZ-3 (15,384.25-14,557.00):Critical structural level with prior buyer interest

DZ-4 (14,557.00-14,140.25):Deep support level - key psychological zone

📈 Recovery Potential
To regain the all-time high of 22,425.75, the market would need to achieve the following percentage gains from each demand zone:

From DZ-1 (Top: 17,539.00, Base: 16,334.85): 📈 +37.3% to all-time high

From DZ-2 (Top: 16,334.85, Base: 15,384.25): 📈 +45.8% to all-time high

From DZ-3 (Top: 15,384.25, Base: 14,557.00): 📈 +54.0% to all-time high

From DZ-4 (Top: 14,557.00, Base: 14,140.25): 📈 +58.6% to all-time high

The DZ-2 to DZ-3 range provides the most likely region for a significant reversal based on confluence between historical support levels and Fibonacci retracements. While DZ-4 aligns with the 37% historical decline.

🔑 Key Takeaways
The NASDAQ 100 s is in a significant correction phase, down -22.6% from its peak.

Price is approaching critical Demand/support zones (DZ-1 to DZ-4), which may act as reversal points.

A return to all-time highs would require substantial gains, particularly if the market reaches the deeper demand zones.

Investors should closely monitor price action around the DZ-2 to DZ-3 range (15,384.25 - 14,557.00) for signs of a potential reversal.

Additionally, staying updated on developments related to the new tariffs is essential, as they may heavily influence market dynamics in the coming months.

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