NVDA Elliot Possibility

2023年8月22日

There's a lot of speculation NVDA is overextended and, well I can see their point.

But maybe through the last years we have had waves 1 and 2 of Elliot. Which would mean we're in wave 3 and in wave 3 "Overextended" does not really exist. A super consistent trend is what is the norm.

Wave 3's are incredibly easy trends to follow but a lot of the time in wave 3 people spend more time trying to call the top than follow the trend.

If we're in the Elliot waves, NVDA has a lot more pain to bring to those who want to bet against it.

2024年2月25日

註釋

If the Elliot thesis is correct, even through NVDA would be expected to go higher overall we'd now be in a short area in 800.

Also possible the fully 1000 expansion fails and we're close to a high in NVDA. Either way, I like the 800 area for a short.

2024年3月7日

註釋

A bit over 900 now.

I think there's a good chance we're very close to a reversal in this now.

2024年3月12日

註釋

Can make a good bear case now. Granted with the caveats of final spike risk in the event the bear thesis is 'mostly right'.

2024年5月9日

交易結束：目標達成

I think this might be the end of the NVDA rally.

2024年6月24日

註釋

Going to be very shocked if this isn't the end of this rally now. Looks like all stages complete.