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NVIDIA (NVDA) | Long Bias | Key Supply Zone| (April 2025)

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NVIDIA (NVDA) | Long Bias | Watching Key Supply Zone + Overvaluation Risk | (April 2025)

1️⃣ Quick Insight:
NVIDIA has been in a strong uptrend since November 2024, but price is now approaching a critical zone around $120–122. We’ve seen a key liquidity grab around the August highs, and the price has been pushing upward since. However, there are signs of possible correction ahead.

2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Long (with caution at resistance)
Entry: Already in from $94 zone (liquidity area)
Stop Loss: Below $94 (liquidity base)
TP1: $120 – Watch this for potential rejection
TP2: $143 – If breakout happens
Final Target: $153 – Previous high area
Correction Watch: Potential ABC correction back to $106 or even retesting $94 before continuation

3️⃣ Key Notes:
We're currently in a parallel channel, and NVDA continues to move higher. However, valuation risk is real. Based on fundamentals, NVDA appears overvalued — with a price-to-sales ratio near 20 and book value suggesting a much lower fair value. Earnings have been decent, but cash flow and valuation metrics don’t support this kind of rally sustainably.

A rejection from $120 could lead to a short-term correction. This move could be deeper if macro risks arise — such as tariff threats or negative headlines from political events (e.g., Trump-related trade policies). Always monitor broader tech sentiment (QQQ, NDX) when analyzing NVDA.

4️⃣ Follow-up:
I'll continue watching price action near $120 and update the idea if structure changes significantly.

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Disclaimer: This is not a financial advise. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
註釋
We are at level looking good

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註釋
looking good taking small profit

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