NVDIA Why buying in December is an excellent strategy.

5 天前

NVIDIA corporation (NVDA) has entered the 2nd half of December below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). On any other occasion that would've been alarming, for NVDIA however this presents the best long-term buy opportunity in a while.

The reason is simple and has to do with the amazing symmetry that the 2-year Channel Up (which NVDIA has been trading in) displays. Despite breaking below the 1D MA50, the price is still contained within the Channel Up, in fact it is very close to making direct contact with its Higher Lows trend-line. That would be a technical bottom, with the last Support marginally lower on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).

On this pattern, we can see that the stock's price action is highly systemic and can be classified into the: a) Accumulation Phase (Rectangle) where the market engages into long-term long positioning again after the Channel Up tops (forms a Higher Highs) and b) the Bull Phase (green Channel Up) where the price enters the aggressive rally of the long-term Channel's Bullish Leg.

As you can see, the previous two Bullish Legs have risen by roughly +257.68%, one from the bottom of the Accumulation Phase (Leg 2) and the other from its December bottom (Leg 1). It is also quite evident on this chart that the month of December plays a critical significance for NDVIA. On December 2022 and December 2023 the true rally sequences of the Bullish Legs started.

As a result, we can expect this sideways, neutral price action that the company has been having lately to bottom by the end of December (2024) and initiate the hyper aggressive part of the new Bullish Leg (green Channel Up). Also, even if it repeats the less aggressive pattern of Leg 2 and rises by +257.68% from the Accumulation Phase's bottom, we can expect to see it rise by as high as $320 by this Summer.

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