紐元 / 美元
已更新

nzd time to buy again

1512
relate to last post ...
🥝🥝🥝🥝🥝 4 SALE


well 1 covid case caused the whole new zealand to lockdown and put a pause onthe rates.. we werent expectig that bhut we edid expect the down side.. now we are ready for the real rise ..
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Nzd/Usd updated Targets... We're actually going back to the .74s, for how long, idk.
--Fundamentals: j pow @ jackson hole didnt really give too much information besides that he will like to taper this year. NEXT FOMC IS SEPT 22nd. I dont believe it'll happen then. Yes we may see lower inflation and a strong jobs report but EVERY YEAR congress is supposed to get a YEARLY budget done by Sept 30th.
We generally always do but IF we DO NOT taper in sept, we have to look for November 3rd's FOMC. October 5th is when NZD is supposed to raise interest rates. Although they were suposed to do it this month AUG 2021, due to a covid cases & lockdown , there as a miscommunication. They actually meant to raise it not keep it the same.
--Technicals: Weekly Harmonic on the ZXY, showing we've already hit TP1 快照

Forbes covers this "debt limit" here : forbes.com/sites/jonathanponciano/2021/07/21/us-treasury-could-run-out-of-cash-by-november-if-22-trillion-debt-limit-goes-unraised-cbo-warns/?sh=3e4902fe305a
UPDATE!!
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Nzd/Jpy (Updated & SIMPLIFIED)
--Fundamentals +Technicals: i dont even gotta explain this one .. jpy is the weakest currency of the year, + monthly harmonic targeting 83.9 & 3month harmonic targeting 94.. nzd hasnt had a red 3 month candle since the pattern was made.. didnt even have a monthly red candle until june 2021 , started nov 2020 (7 green months)
---------UPDATE!!-------------
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NZD/CHF
--Technical: Only one i am actually hesitant against because yes i dont have technicals but we HARDLY ever get any Swiss Franc Major news.. We do have this potential BULL FLAG pattern with about 1 or 2 false break outs but it always bounces from the bottom of the channel. .. also that orange line on the NZD/CHF chart was PREpandemic low.. the pair would always bounce from .645 until covid.
--Fundamental: NZD Rate Rise October 5th

my interest for this one is that(1) chf has the lowest interest of them all & nzd should be raising rates soon.. (2) chf is a crisis currency to me & with the world going back to normal we may see this deflate in price. (3) HOW THE HECK IS CHF BASICALLY AT ALL TIME HIGHS AGAINST EVERYTHING !!! WHERE'S THE PULL BACK? BUT IT'S ALL SO Simple .. once we break the daily BULL FLAG Pattern .. we just pay attention to the levels (blue and orange) & if orange turns .. support , well we've bought long time ago and we dont have to worry until it either breaks above(150) or below (but we bought almost 125 pips ago .. so we just gotta watch)
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nzd usd had a couple of red days .. i guess it was structure, trend, and there was also a much needed pull back .. now we look for breakout 快照

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